Trader consensus clusters around a 62–67°F overnight low for Chicago on September 12, reflecting modest uncertainty in model guidance amid a lingering warm air mass. Recent clear to partly cloudy conditions have supported efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, yet elevated dew points near 60°F and light variable winds are limiting further drops. National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show the minimum likely occurring near dawn, with small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the reading by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, but the current pattern favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated model runs and official observations through the early morning hours remain the key variables that could refine market-implied probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
57°F or below 100%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
70-71°F 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
100%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
13%
76°F or higher
14%
57°F or below 100%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
70-71°F 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Обс.
100%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
39%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
27%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
32%
66-67°F
$18 Обс.
31%
68-69°F
$5 Обс.
27%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
13%
76°F or higher
$0 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around a 62–67°F overnight low for Chicago on September 12, reflecting modest uncertainty in model guidance amid a lingering warm air mass. Recent clear to partly cloudy conditions have supported efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, yet elevated dew points near 60°F and light variable winds are limiting further drops. National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show the minimum likely occurring near dawn, with small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the reading by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, but the current pattern favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated model runs and official observations through the early morning hours remain the key variables that could refine market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$24Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around a 62–67°F overnight low for Chicago on September 12, reflecting modest uncertainty in model guidance amid a lingering warm air mass. Recent clear to partly cloudy conditions have supported efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, yet elevated dew points near 60°F and light variable winds are limiting further drops. National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show the minimum likely occurring near dawn, with small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the reading by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, but the current pattern favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated model runs and official observations through the early morning hours remain the key variables that could refine market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around a 62–67°F overnight low for Chicago on September 12, reflecting modest uncertainty in model guidance amid a lingering warm air mass. Recent clear to partly cloudy conditions have supported efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, yet elevated dew points near 60°F and light variable winds are limiting further drops. National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show the minimum likely occurring near dawn, with small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the reading by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, but the current pattern favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated model runs and official observations through the early morning hours remain the key variables that could refine market-implied probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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