Current forecast consensus from global and regional models places Wuhan's minimum temperature for September 14 near 23°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds, supporting trader balance between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight under clear or broken skies drives the expected diurnal range, while any increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover from approaching frontal activity could limit overnight drops. Model runs show limited spread around this value, though minor shifts in timing of cloud development or wind patterns could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market, with traders weighting recent stability in guidance against typical early-autumn variability in the Yangtze River valley.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 14?
18°C or below 85%
28°C or higher 85%
21°C 39%
26°C 39%
18°C or below
85%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
39%
22°C
22%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
38%
26°C
39%
27°C
9%
28°C or higher
85%
18°C or below 85%
28°C or higher 85%
21°C 39%
26°C 39%
18°C or below
85%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
39%
22°C
22%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
38%
26°C
39%
27°C
9%
28°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global and regional models places Wuhan's minimum temperature for September 14 near 23°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds, supporting trader balance between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight under clear or broken skies drives the expected diurnal range, while any increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover from approaching frontal activity could limit overnight drops. Model runs show limited spread around this value, though minor shifts in timing of cloud development or wind patterns could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market, with traders weighting recent stability in guidance against typical early-autumn variability in the Yangtze River valley.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання