Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 100–102°F for Austin on September 12, driven by persistent southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and a strong surface high that has kept central Texas under hot, dry conditions for several days. Recent observations show afternoon readings already reaching the upper 90s to near 100°F, with heat indices above 105°F, aligning with the late-summer climatology where such temperatures occur several times per September. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins reflects this tight model consensus and low precipitation probability, though minor shifts in timing or boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the official reading one degree in either direction before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 12?
100-101°F 59%
102-103°F 37%
98-99°F 4%
104-105°F 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
59%
102-103°F
37%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 59%
102-103°F 37%
98-99°F 4%
104-105°F 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
91°F or below
$320 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$165 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$556 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$84 Обс.
2%
98-99°F
$291 Обс.
4%
100-101°F
$1,951 Обс.
59%
102-103°F
$1,021 Обс.
37%
104-105°F
$93 Обс.
3%
106-107°F
$92 Обс.
2%
108-109°F
$54 Обс.
<1%
110°F or higher
$138 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 100–102°F for Austin on September 12, driven by persistent southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and a strong surface high that has kept central Texas under hot, dry conditions for several days. Recent observations show afternoon readings already reaching the upper 90s to near 100°F, with heat indices above 105°F, aligning with the late-summer climatology where such temperatures occur several times per September. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins reflects this tight model consensus and low precipitation probability, though minor shifts in timing or boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the official reading one degree in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,765Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 100–102°F for Austin on September 12, driven by persistent southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and a strong surface high that has kept central Texas under hot, dry conditions for several days. Recent observations show afternoon readings already reaching the upper 90s to near 100°F, with heat indices above 105°F, aligning with the late-summer climatology where such temperatures occur several times per September. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins reflects this tight model consensus and low precipitation probability, though minor shifts in timing or boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the official reading one degree in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,765Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 100–102°F for Austin on September 12, driven by persistent southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and a strong surface high that has kept central Texas under hot, dry conditions for several days. Recent observations show afternoon readings already reaching the upper 90s to near 100°F, with heat indices above 105°F, aligning with the late-summer climatology where such temperatures occur several times per September. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins reflects this tight model consensus and low precipitation probability, though minor shifts in timing or boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the official reading one degree in either direction before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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