Latest numerical weather prediction models position a maximum near 31–32 °C for Singapore on 11 September as the consensus outcome, reflecting typical southwest monsoon conditions with southeasterly to southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and afternoon convective showers that cap daytime heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 September climatological average daily maximum of 31.6 °C at Changi, while early-month dry signals and regional haze have not produced sustained clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on these values because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong suppression below 31 °C or rapid afternoon clearing that would push readings to 33 °C or higher. Updated short-range runs from regional centers and official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance expected before resolution remain the key near-term variables that could shift the distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on September 11?
32°C 50%
31°C 29%
33°C 14%
30°C 6%
$15,883 Обс.
$15,883 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
29%
32°C
50%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 29%
33°C 14%
30°C 6%
$15,883 Обс.
$15,883 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
29%
32°C
50%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models position a maximum near 31–32 °C for Singapore on 11 September as the consensus outcome, reflecting typical southwest monsoon conditions with southeasterly to southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and afternoon convective showers that cap daytime heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 September climatological average daily maximum of 31.6 °C at Changi, while early-month dry signals and regional haze have not produced sustained clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on these values because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong suppression below 31 °C or rapid afternoon clearing that would push readings to 33 °C or higher. Updated short-range runs from regional centers and official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance expected before resolution remain the key near-term variables that could shift the distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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