Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate Paris will reach a daytime high near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the 75.5% market-implied probability for 22°C. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 12–14°C toward 20–21°C by mid-afternoon, with no significant advection of cooler or warmer air masses. Model consensus remains tight around this seasonal norm, with limited upside potential for 23°C or higher given stable high pressure and light winds, while downside risks to 21°C or below appear constrained by ongoing solar heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 10?
22°C 70%
21°C 28%
23°C 3%
24°C <1%
$44,571 Обс.
$44,571 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
31%
22°C
68%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 70%
21°C 28%
23°C 3%
24°C <1%
$44,571 Обс.
$44,571 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
$1,936 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,158 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$2,089 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$6,356 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$9,964 Обс.
31%
22°C
$5,487 Обс.
68%
23°C
$8,976 Обс.
3%
24°C
$2,824 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,962 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,497 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,321 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate Paris will reach a daytime high near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the 75.5% market-implied probability for 22°C. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 12–14°C toward 20–21°C by mid-afternoon, with no significant advection of cooler or warmer air masses. Model consensus remains tight around this seasonal norm, with limited upside potential for 23°C or higher given stable high pressure and light winds, while downside risks to 21°C or below appear constrained by ongoing solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$44,571Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate Paris will reach a daytime high near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the 75.5% market-implied probability for 22°C. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 12–14°C toward 20–21°C by mid-afternoon, with no significant advection of cooler or warmer air masses. Model consensus remains tight around this seasonal norm, with limited upside potential for 23°C or higher given stable high pressure and light winds, while downside risks to 21°C or below appear constrained by ongoing solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$44,571Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate Paris will reach a daytime high near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the 75.5% market-implied probability for 22°C. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 12–14°C toward 20–21°C by mid-afternoon, with no significant advection of cooler or warmer air masses. Model consensus remains tight around this seasonal norm, with limited upside potential for 23°C or higher given stable high pressure and light winds, while downside risks to 21°C or below appear constrained by ongoing solar heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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