Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds for Toronto on September 11, supporting a daytime high near 23°C as the primary driver of current market odds. This aligns with seasonal norms, where the long-term average high for the date is approximately 23°C, and reflects minimal uncertainty in short-range guidance with clear skies expected to limit daytime heating variability. Traders appear to assign secondary weight to the 24°C outcome amid slight model spread in afternoon temperatures, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given stable high pressure and no significant air-mass changes. Updated model outputs or final observations on the day could still influence resolution if deviations occur.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
23°C 55%
24°C 27%
22°C 15%
25°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
15%
23°C
55%
24°C
27%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 55%
24°C 27%
22°C 15%
25°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
$316 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$268 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$88 Обс.
1%
21°C
$369 Обс.
2%
22°C
$1,421 Обс.
15%
23°C
$2,590 Обс.
55%
24°C
$1,097 Обс.
27%
25°C
$765 Обс.
5%
26°C
$365 Обс.
1%
27°C
$268 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$455 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds for Toronto on September 11, supporting a daytime high near 23°C as the primary driver of current market odds. This aligns with seasonal norms, where the long-term average high for the date is approximately 23°C, and reflects minimal uncertainty in short-range guidance with clear skies expected to limit daytime heating variability. Traders appear to assign secondary weight to the 24°C outcome amid slight model spread in afternoon temperatures, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given stable high pressure and no significant air-mass changes. Updated model outputs or final observations on the day could still influence resolution if deviations occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,003Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds for Toronto on September 11, supporting a daytime high near 23°C as the primary driver of current market odds. This aligns with seasonal norms, where the long-term average high for the date is approximately 23°C, and reflects minimal uncertainty in short-range guidance with clear skies expected to limit daytime heating variability. Traders appear to assign secondary weight to the 24°C outcome amid slight model spread in afternoon temperatures, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given stable high pressure and no significant air-mass changes. Updated model outputs or final observations on the day could still influence resolution if deviations occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,003Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds for Toronto on September 11, supporting a daytime high near 23°C as the primary driver of current market odds. This aligns with seasonal norms, where the long-term average high for the date is approximately 23°C, and reflects minimal uncertainty in short-range guidance with clear skies expected to limit daytime heating variability. Traders appear to assign secondary weight to the 24°C outcome amid slight model spread in afternoon temperatures, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given stable high pressure and no significant air-mass changes. Updated model outputs or final observations on the day could still influence resolution if deviations occur.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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