**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.** This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
18°C 99%
15°C 20%
17°C 4%
16°C 3%
$1,142 Обс.
$1,142 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 99%
15°C 20%
17°C 4%
16°C 3%
$1,142 Обс.
$1,142 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$157 Обс.
No
15°C
$0 Обс.
No
16°C
$70 Обс.
No
17°C
$25 Обс.
No
18°C
$111 Обс.
Yes
19°C
$557 Обс.
No
20°C
$221 Обс.
No
21°C
$0 Обс.
No
22°C
$0 Обс.
No
23°C
$0 Обс.
No
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.**
This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,142Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.**
This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,142Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.** This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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