Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a clear, high-pressure pattern over the Pacific Northwest on September 17, supporting overnight radiational cooling with Seattle-area lows centered in the low-to-mid 50s°F, consistent with the 52–57°F bin that holds the bulk of market-implied probability. Historical September normals near Sea-Tac show average lows of 52.9°F, while recent days have featured similar clear conditions producing readings of 52–54°F. Key variables include light northeast winds that could enhance or limit cooling, minor differences in urban versus airport microclimates, and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or dew points. The spread across adjacent bins reflects typical ensemble uncertainty this far ahead of the overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour low reported at the primary station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seattle on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 17?
56-57°F 40%
54-55°F 35%
52-53°F 22%
50-51°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
45°F or below
5%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
7%
64°F or higher
5%
56-57°F 40%
54-55°F 35%
52-53°F 22%
50-51°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
45°F or below
$0 Обс.
5%
46-47°F
$0 Обс.
7%
48-49°F
$0 Обс.
11%
50-51°F
$0 Обс.
19%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
22%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
35%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
40%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
19%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
11%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
7%
64°F or higher
$0 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a clear, high-pressure pattern over the Pacific Northwest on September 17, supporting overnight radiational cooling with Seattle-area lows centered in the low-to-mid 50s°F, consistent with the 52–57°F bin that holds the bulk of market-implied probability. Historical September normals near Sea-Tac show average lows of 52.9°F, while recent days have featured similar clear conditions producing readings of 52–54°F. Key variables include light northeast winds that could enhance or limit cooling, minor differences in urban versus airport microclimates, and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or dew points. The spread across adjacent bins reflects typical ensemble uncertainty this far ahead of the overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour low reported at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a clear, high-pressure pattern over the Pacific Northwest on September 17, supporting overnight radiational cooling with Seattle-area lows centered in the low-to-mid 50s°F, consistent with the 52–57°F bin that holds the bulk of market-implied probability. Historical September normals near Sea-Tac show average lows of 52.9°F, while recent days have featured similar clear conditions producing readings of 52–54°F. Key variables include light northeast winds that could enhance or limit cooling, minor differences in urban versus airport microclimates, and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or dew points. The spread across adjacent bins reflects typical ensemble uncertainty this far ahead of the overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour low reported at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a clear, high-pressure pattern over the Pacific Northwest on September 17, supporting overnight radiational cooling with Seattle-area lows centered in the low-to-mid 50s°F, consistent with the 52–57°F bin that holds the bulk of market-implied probability. Historical September normals near Sea-Tac show average lows of 52.9°F, while recent days have featured similar clear conditions producing readings of 52–54°F. Key variables include light northeast winds that could enhance or limit cooling, minor differences in urban versus airport microclimates, and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or dew points. The spread across adjacent bins reflects typical ensemble uncertainty this far ahead of the overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour low reported at the primary station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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