Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected during the afternoon that could limit peak readings or allow brief spikes. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around these levels amid above-average warmth for mid-September. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability, though timing of cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact resolution. Historical September highs average near 20°C, underscoring the current anomaly driven by regional pressure setups. Updated forecasts and observational data ahead of peak heating hours will likely refine implied probabilities further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
26°C 43%
25°C 24%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
$13,869 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,869 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
24%
26°C
43%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 24%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
$13,869 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,869 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$1,223 Обс.
5%
24°C
$774 Обс.
11%
25°C
$2,204 Обс.
24%
26°C
$2,073 Обс.
43%
27°C
$2,149 Обс.
15%
28°C
$1,131 Обс.
2%
29°C
$164 Обс.
1%
30°C
$225 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,202 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,160 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,564 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected during the afternoon that could limit peak readings or allow brief spikes. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around these levels amid above-average warmth for mid-September. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability, though timing of cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact resolution. Historical September highs average near 20°C, underscoring the current anomaly driven by regional pressure setups. Updated forecasts and observational data ahead of peak heating hours will likely refine implied probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,869Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected during the afternoon that could limit peak readings or allow brief spikes. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around these levels amid above-average warmth for mid-September. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability, though timing of cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact resolution. Historical September highs average near 20°C, underscoring the current anomaly driven by regional pressure setups. Updated forecasts and observational data ahead of peak heating hours will likely refine implied probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,869Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected during the afternoon that could limit peak readings or allow brief spikes. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around these levels amid above-average warmth for mid-September. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability, though timing of cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact resolution. Historical September highs average near 20°C, underscoring the current anomaly driven by regional pressure setups. Updated forecasts and observational data ahead of peak heating hours will likely refine implied probabilities further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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