Current forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a peak of 31–32°C on September 15 under clear skies, southwest flow, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating, driving the market’s 50.5% implied probability on 32°C. This represents a notable positive anomaly relative to the 21–22°C climatological average for the date. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with minimal disagreement, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could alter the exact maximum by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, while the spread to 31°C and 33°C at 20.5% each reflects residual uncertainty in final observed readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
32°C 51%
31°C 21%
33°C 21%
34°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
21%
32°C
51%
33°C
21%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 51%
31°C 21%
33°C 21%
34°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Обс.
2%
27°C
$10 Обс.
2%
28°C
$20 Обс.
2%
29°C
$30 Обс.
2%
30°C
$21 Обс.
6%
31°C
$542 Обс.
21%
32°C
$1,650 Обс.
51%
33°C
$325 Обс.
21%
34°C
$267 Обс.
6%
35°C
$10 Обс.
2%
36°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a peak of 31–32°C on September 15 under clear skies, southwest flow, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating, driving the market’s 50.5% implied probability on 32°C. This represents a notable positive anomaly relative to the 21–22°C climatological average for the date. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with minimal disagreement, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could alter the exact maximum by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, while the spread to 31°C and 33°C at 20.5% each reflects residual uncertainty in final observed readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,891Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a peak of 31–32°C on September 15 under clear skies, southwest flow, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating, driving the market’s 50.5% implied probability on 32°C. This represents a notable positive anomaly relative to the 21–22°C climatological average for the date. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with minimal disagreement, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could alter the exact maximum by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, while the spread to 31°C and 33°C at 20.5% each reflects residual uncertainty in final observed readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,891Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a peak of 31–32°C on September 15 under clear skies, southwest flow, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating, driving the market’s 50.5% implied probability on 32°C. This represents a notable positive anomaly relative to the 21–22°C climatological average for the date. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with minimal disagreement, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could alter the exact maximum by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, while the spread to 31°C and 33°C at 20.5% each reflects residual uncertainty in final observed readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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