Recent short-range forecasts from models such as GFS and guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center drive trader consensus toward a 17–18°C daily high in Moscow on September 13, with 17°C holding the highest implied probability at 36.5%. Westerly flow advects mild air under partly cloudy skies and light winds of 2–5 m/s, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the seasonal baseline near 18°C, with no major revisions or model disagreements in the past 48 hours. Cloud cover and stable pressure near 748–749 mmHg further cap peak readings, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of maximum insolation could shift the official observation between 16°C and 19°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
17°C 37%
18°C 26%
19°C 22%
21°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
13°C or below
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
17%
16°C
16%
17°C
37%
18°C
26%
19°C
22%
20°C
9%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
9%
17°C 37%
18°C 26%
19°C 22%
21°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
7%
14°C
$0 Обс.
7%
15°C
$0 Обс.
17%
16°C
$31 Обс.
16%
17°C
$12 Обс.
37%
18°C
$0 Обс.
26%
19°C
$0 Обс.
22%
20°C
$4 Обс.
9%
21°C
$0 Обс.
19%
22°C
$0 Обс.
5%
23°C or higher
$0 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as GFS and guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center drive trader consensus toward a 17–18°C daily high in Moscow on September 13, with 17°C holding the highest implied probability at 36.5%. Westerly flow advects mild air under partly cloudy skies and light winds of 2–5 m/s, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the seasonal baseline near 18°C, with no major revisions or model disagreements in the past 48 hours. Cloud cover and stable pressure near 748–749 mmHg further cap peak readings, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of maximum insolation could shift the official observation between 16°C and 19°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$47Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as GFS and guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center drive trader consensus toward a 17–18°C daily high in Moscow on September 13, with 17°C holding the highest implied probability at 36.5%. Westerly flow advects mild air under partly cloudy skies and light winds of 2–5 m/s, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the seasonal baseline near 18°C, with no major revisions or model disagreements in the past 48 hours. Cloud cover and stable pressure near 748–749 mmHg further cap peak readings, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of maximum insolation could shift the official observation between 16°C and 19°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$47Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models such as GFS and guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center drive trader consensus toward a 17–18°C daily high in Moscow on September 13, with 17°C holding the highest implied probability at 36.5%. Westerly flow advects mild air under partly cloudy skies and light winds of 2–5 m/s, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the seasonal baseline near 18°C, with no major revisions or model disagreements in the past 48 hours. Cloud cover and stable pressure near 748–749 mmHg further cap peak readings, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of maximum insolation could shift the official observation between 16°C and 19°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання