**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C or below <1%
$1,520 Обс.
$1,520 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C or below <1%
$1,520 Обс.
$1,520 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$270 Обс.
No
10°C
$97 Обс.
No
11°C
$297 Обс.
No
12°C
$0 Обс.
No
13°C
$86 Обс.
No
14°C
$215 Обс.
Yes
15°C
$555 Обс.
No
16°C
$0 Обс.
No
17°C
$0 Обс.
No
18°C
$0 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,520Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,520Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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