Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily minimum temperature near 12°C for Warsaw on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light southerly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup favors gradual heat loss from the surface after daytime highs reached 24–25°C, though increasing humidity and light cloud cover later in the period could limit further drops. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the most likely outcome, with notable volume on 8°C and 6°C or below reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and any localized urban heat island effects. Historical September minima in the region average near 11°C, providing context for the tight spread between these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
6°C or below 90%
8°C 90%
10°C 52%
7°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
90%
7°C
14%
8°C
90%
9°C
6%
10°C
52%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 90%
8°C 90%
10°C 52%
7°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
90%
7°C
$87 Обс.
14%
8°C
$213 Обс.
90%
9°C
$5 Обс.
6%
10°C
$33 Обс.
52%
11°C
$136 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$231 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$46 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$72 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$21 Обс.
<1%
16°C or higher
$16 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily minimum temperature near 12°C for Warsaw on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light southerly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup favors gradual heat loss from the surface after daytime highs reached 24–25°C, though increasing humidity and light cloud cover later in the period could limit further drops. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the most likely outcome, with notable volume on 8°C and 6°C or below reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and any localized urban heat island effects. Historical September minima in the region average near 11°C, providing context for the tight spread between these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$861Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily minimum temperature near 12°C for Warsaw on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light southerly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup favors gradual heat loss from the surface after daytime highs reached 24–25°C, though increasing humidity and light cloud cover later in the period could limit further drops. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the most likely outcome, with notable volume on 8°C and 6°C or below reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and any localized urban heat island effects. Historical September minima in the region average near 11°C, providing context for the tight spread between these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$861Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily minimum temperature near 12°C for Warsaw on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light southerly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup favors gradual heat loss from the surface after daytime highs reached 24–25°C, though increasing humidity and light cloud cover later in the period could limit further drops. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the most likely outcome, with notable volume on 8°C and 6°C or below reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and any localized urban heat island effects. Historical September minima in the region average near 11°C, providing context for the tight spread between these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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