Traders see 22°C and 21°C as the most probable outcomes for Warsaw's daily maximum on September 18, reflecting model consensus around a modest autumnal warm anomaly. Official guidance from European meteorological centers highlights variable high-pressure influence that could limit daytime heating, with ensemble spreads centering on 20–23°C depending on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and southeasterly flow strength. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places average highs near 18–20°C, so current probabilities embed a slight positive departure driven by recent upstream ridge persistence. Key uncertainties include overnight radiative cooling rates and any late-day frontal approach that could cap temperatures below 21°C or allow brief spikes toward 23°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
22°C 52%
21°C 36%
23°C 12%
20°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
36%
22°C
52%
23°C
12%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 52%
21°C 36%
23°C 12%
20°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$1,243 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$133 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$527 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$338 Обс.
1%
19°C
$140 Обс.
1%
20°C
$340 Обс.
4%
21°C
$1,657 Обс.
36%
22°C
$2,579 Обс.
52%
23°C
$1,445 Обс.
12%
24°C
$259 Обс.
1%
25°C or higher
$205 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 22°C and 21°C as the most probable outcomes for Warsaw's daily maximum on September 18, reflecting model consensus around a modest autumnal warm anomaly. Official guidance from European meteorological centers highlights variable high-pressure influence that could limit daytime heating, with ensemble spreads centering on 20–23°C depending on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and southeasterly flow strength. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places average highs near 18–20°C, so current probabilities embed a slight positive departure driven by recent upstream ridge persistence. Key uncertainties include overnight radiative cooling rates and any late-day frontal approach that could cap temperatures below 21°C or allow brief spikes toward 23°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,866Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 22°C and 21°C as the most probable outcomes for Warsaw's daily maximum on September 18, reflecting model consensus around a modest autumnal warm anomaly. Official guidance from European meteorological centers highlights variable high-pressure influence that could limit daytime heating, with ensemble spreads centering on 20–23°C depending on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and southeasterly flow strength. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places average highs near 18–20°C, so current probabilities embed a slight positive departure driven by recent upstream ridge persistence. Key uncertainties include overnight radiative cooling rates and any late-day frontal approach that could cap temperatures below 21°C or allow brief spikes toward 23°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,866Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 22°C and 21°C as the most probable outcomes for Warsaw's daily maximum on September 18, reflecting model consensus around a modest autumnal warm anomaly. Official guidance from European meteorological centers highlights variable high-pressure influence that could limit daytime heating, with ensemble spreads centering on 20–23°C depending on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and southeasterly flow strength. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places average highs near 18–20°C, so current probabilities embed a slight positive departure driven by recent upstream ridge persistence. Key uncertainties include overnight radiative cooling rates and any late-day frontal approach that could cap temperatures below 21°C or allow brief spikes toward 23°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання