Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Beijing on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting enhanced daytime heating ahead of a potential pattern shift. Trader consensus, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 76% of implied probability, aligns with this guidance while incorporating uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover and Beijing’s urban heat island effect. The forecast exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C for the date. Key variables differentiating nearby outcomes include precise timing of any increased cloudiness or wind shifts that could limit maximums, with updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
30°C 29%
31°C 27%
32°C 22%
29°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
15%
30°C
29%
31°C
27%
32°C
22%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 29%
31°C 27%
32°C 22%
29°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
$324 Обс.
1%
26°C
$423 Обс.
1%
27°C
$512 Обс.
3%
28°C
$378 Обс.
7%
29°C
$549 Обс.
15%
30°C
$646 Обс.
29%
31°C
$288 Обс.
27%
32°C
$1,819 Обс.
22%
33°C
$341 Обс.
2%
34°C
$25 Обс.
2%
35°C or higher
$600 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Beijing on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting enhanced daytime heating ahead of a potential pattern shift. Trader consensus, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 76% of implied probability, aligns with this guidance while incorporating uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover and Beijing’s urban heat island effect. The forecast exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C for the date. Key variables differentiating nearby outcomes include precise timing of any increased cloudiness or wind shifts that could limit maximums, with updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,904Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Beijing on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting enhanced daytime heating ahead of a potential pattern shift. Trader consensus, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 76% of implied probability, aligns with this guidance while incorporating uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover and Beijing’s urban heat island effect. The forecast exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C for the date. Key variables differentiating nearby outcomes include precise timing of any increased cloudiness or wind shifts that could limit maximums, with updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,904Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Beijing on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting enhanced daytime heating ahead of a potential pattern shift. Trader consensus, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 76% of implied probability, aligns with this guidance while incorporating uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover and Beijing’s urban heat island effect. The forecast exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C for the date. Key variables differentiating nearby outcomes include precise timing of any increased cloudiness or wind shifts that could limit maximums, with updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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