Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Beijing's overnight low on September 17 stabilizing near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched market-implied ranges of 14°C or below and 24°C or higher, reflecting genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing rather than strong consensus on extremes. Persistent warm advection from the south has kept temperatures above the 15.7°C climatological average, while any unexpected clear-sky window or northerly shift could nudge readings lower before official China Meteorological Administration verification. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift decisively.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
14°C or below 72%
24°C or higher 71%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
72%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
10%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
71%
14°C or below 72%
24°C or higher 71%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
72%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
25%
19°C
$98 Обс.
12%
20°C
$132 Обс.
10%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Beijing's overnight low on September 17 stabilizing near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched market-implied ranges of 14°C or below and 24°C or higher, reflecting genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing rather than strong consensus on extremes. Persistent warm advection from the south has kept temperatures above the 15.7°C climatological average, while any unexpected clear-sky window or northerly shift could nudge readings lower before official China Meteorological Administration verification. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift decisively.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$230Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Beijing's overnight low on September 17 stabilizing near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched market-implied ranges of 14°C or below and 24°C or higher, reflecting genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing rather than strong consensus on extremes. Persistent warm advection from the south has kept temperatures above the 15.7°C climatological average, while any unexpected clear-sky window or northerly shift could nudge readings lower before official China Meteorological Administration verification. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift decisively.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$230Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Beijing's overnight low on September 17 stabilizing near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched market-implied ranges of 14°C or below and 24°C or higher, reflecting genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing rather than strong consensus on extremes. Persistent warm advection from the south has kept temperatures above the 15.7°C climatological average, while any unexpected clear-sky window or northerly shift could nudge readings lower before official China Meteorological Administration verification. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift decisively.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання