Current forecasts from global models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall in the 17–20°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. Mid-September climatology shows average lows near 16°C with a historical record low of 7.6°C, but recent September conditions have trended warmer than normal amid weak cold-front activity and limited moisture. Trader consensus remains diffuse across bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can alter the minimum by several degrees, while model spreads and the short lead time sustain comparable implied probabilities for both sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
9°C or below 64%
19°C or higher 64%
14°C 40%
18°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
9°C or below
64%
10°C
9%
11°C
5%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
29%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C or higher
64%
9°C or below 64%
19°C or higher 64%
14°C 40%
18°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
9°C or below
$10 Обс.
64%
10°C
$30 Обс.
9%
11°C
$0 Обс.
5%
12°C
$0 Обс.
22%
13°C
$0 Обс.
22%
14°C
$3 Обс.
29%
15°C
$0 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$50 Обс.
19%
18°C
$10 Обс.
37%
19°C or higher
$10 Обс.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall in the 17–20°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. Mid-September climatology shows average lows near 16°C with a historical record low of 7.6°C, but recent September conditions have trended warmer than normal amid weak cold-front activity and limited moisture. Trader consensus remains diffuse across bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can alter the minimum by several degrees, while model spreads and the short lead time sustain comparable implied probabilities for both sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$113Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall in the 17–20°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. Mid-September climatology shows average lows near 16°C with a historical record low of 7.6°C, but recent September conditions have trended warmer than normal amid weak cold-front activity and limited moisture. Trader consensus remains diffuse across bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can alter the minimum by several degrees, while model spreads and the short lead time sustain comparable implied probabilities for both sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$113Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall in the 17–20°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. Mid-September climatology shows average lows near 16°C with a historical record low of 7.6°C, but recent September conditions have trended warmer than normal amid weak cold-front activity and limited moisture. Trader consensus remains diffuse across bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can alter the minimum by several degrees, while model spreads and the short lead time sustain comparable implied probabilities for both sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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