Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned sources indicate a maximum near 14°C for Wellington on September 14 under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, consistent with spring climatology. Trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes reflects model consensus around modest warming from northerly flow off warmer Tasman Sea waters, reduced cloud cover allowing greater daytime insolation, and limited mixing from Cook Strait winds. Differentiation between these bins hinges on small shifts in frontal timing, exact wind speed, or localized sheltering effects that can add or subtract 1°C at observation sites. With resolution imminent, any updated high-resolution model runs or MetService briefing could narrow the tight spread between the leading probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
16°C 42%
15°C 40%
14°C 13%
17°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
13%
15°C
40%
16°C
35%
17°C
11%
18°C
9%
19°C or higher
7%
16°C 42%
15°C 40%
14°C 13%
17°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
10°C
$0 Обс.
4%
11°C
$0 Обс.
4%
12°C
$0 Обс.
4%
13°C
$0 Обс.
7%
14°C
$35 Обс.
13%
15°C
$209 Обс.
40%
16°C
$10 Обс.
35%
17°C
$69 Обс.
11%
18°C
$0 Обс.
9%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned sources indicate a maximum near 14°C for Wellington on September 14 under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, consistent with spring climatology. Trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes reflects model consensus around modest warming from northerly flow off warmer Tasman Sea waters, reduced cloud cover allowing greater daytime insolation, and limited mixing from Cook Strait winds. Differentiation between these bins hinges on small shifts in frontal timing, exact wind speed, or localized sheltering effects that can add or subtract 1°C at observation sites. With resolution imminent, any updated high-resolution model runs or MetService briefing could narrow the tight spread between the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$323Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned sources indicate a maximum near 14°C for Wellington on September 14 under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, consistent with spring climatology. Trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes reflects model consensus around modest warming from northerly flow off warmer Tasman Sea waters, reduced cloud cover allowing greater daytime insolation, and limited mixing from Cook Strait winds. Differentiation between these bins hinges on small shifts in frontal timing, exact wind speed, or localized sheltering effects that can add or subtract 1°C at observation sites. With resolution imminent, any updated high-resolution model runs or MetService briefing could narrow the tight spread between the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$323Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned sources indicate a maximum near 14°C for Wellington on September 14 under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, consistent with spring climatology. Trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes reflects model consensus around modest warming from northerly flow off warmer Tasman Sea waters, reduced cloud cover allowing greater daytime insolation, and limited mixing from Cook Strait winds. Differentiation between these bins hinges on small shifts in frontal timing, exact wind speed, or localized sheltering effects that can add or subtract 1°C at observation sites. With resolution imminent, any updated high-resolution model runs or MetService briefing could narrow the tight spread between the leading probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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