Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 9°C for Wellington on September 14, driven by mild northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit strong radiational cooling under high pressure. This positions the 9°C outcome near the market lead alongside 14°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread where slight increases in cloud cover or wind could raise the low by 1–2°C while clearer conditions or calmer nights enhance cooling toward 8°C or below. Historical September averages around 9.6°C provide context, but local topography and rapid changes in dew point or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow differentiation among clustered probabilities. Final model runs and overnight observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
14°C or higher 70%
4°C or below 56%
11°C 38%
9°C 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
4°C or below
56%
5°C
18%
6°C
21%
7°C
23%
8°C
27%
9°C
29%
10°C
24%
11°C
38%
12°C
15%
13°C
13%
14°C or higher
70%
14°C or higher 70%
4°C or below 56%
11°C 38%
9°C 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Обс.
56%
5°C
$0 Обс.
18%
6°C
$0 Обс.
21%
7°C
$0 Обс.
23%
8°C
$0 Обс.
27%
9°C
$0 Обс.
29%
10°C
$0 Обс.
24%
11°C
$0 Обс.
38%
12°C
$0 Обс.
15%
13°C
$0 Обс.
13%
14°C or higher
$0 Обс.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 9°C for Wellington on September 14, driven by mild northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit strong radiational cooling under high pressure. This positions the 9°C outcome near the market lead alongside 14°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread where slight increases in cloud cover or wind could raise the low by 1–2°C while clearer conditions or calmer nights enhance cooling toward 8°C or below. Historical September averages around 9.6°C provide context, but local topography and rapid changes in dew point or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow differentiation among clustered probabilities. Final model runs and overnight observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 9°C for Wellington on September 14, driven by mild northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit strong radiational cooling under high pressure. This positions the 9°C outcome near the market lead alongside 14°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread where slight increases in cloud cover or wind could raise the low by 1–2°C while clearer conditions or calmer nights enhance cooling toward 8°C or below. Historical September averages around 9.6°C provide context, but local topography and rapid changes in dew point or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow differentiation among clustered probabilities. Final model runs and overnight observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 9°C for Wellington on September 14, driven by mild northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit strong radiational cooling under high pressure. This positions the 9°C outcome near the market lead alongside 14°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread where slight increases in cloud cover or wind could raise the low by 1–2°C while clearer conditions or calmer nights enhance cooling toward 8°C or below. Historical September averages around 9.6°C provide context, but local topography and rapid changes in dew point or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow differentiation among clustered probabilities. Final model runs and overnight observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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