Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 7–9°C for Wellington on September 13, driven by southerly winds shifting overnight and mostly clear skies allowing radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome near the middle of the tightly bunched market-implied odds, where uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates roughly equal trader weight on sub-5°C or 14°C-plus extremes. Historical September minima average around 8–9°C, with recent clear nights showing 1–2°C variability from forecast adjustments. Updated runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the precise low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
4°C or below 76%
14°C or higher 76%
6°C 40%
11°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
4°C or below
76%
5°C
7%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
27%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
76%
4°C or below 76%
14°C or higher 76%
6°C 40%
11°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Обс.
76%
5°C
$8 Обс.
7%
6°C
$0 Обс.
40%
7°C
$0 Обс.
22%
8°C
$0 Обс.
27%
9°C
$0 Обс.
22%
10°C
$0 Обс.
22%
11°C
$0 Обс.
40%
12°C
$0 Обс.
18%
13°C
$0 Обс.
2%
14°C or higher
$0 Обс.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 7–9°C for Wellington on September 13, driven by southerly winds shifting overnight and mostly clear skies allowing radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome near the middle of the tightly bunched market-implied odds, where uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates roughly equal trader weight on sub-5°C or 14°C-plus extremes. Historical September minima average around 8–9°C, with recent clear nights showing 1–2°C variability from forecast adjustments. Updated runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the precise low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 7–9°C for Wellington on September 13, driven by southerly winds shifting overnight and mostly clear skies allowing radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome near the middle of the tightly bunched market-implied odds, where uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates roughly equal trader weight on sub-5°C or 14°C-plus extremes. Historical September minima average around 8–9°C, with recent clear nights showing 1–2°C variability from forecast adjustments. Updated runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the precise low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 7–9°C for Wellington on September 13, driven by southerly winds shifting overnight and mostly clear skies allowing radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome near the middle of the tightly bunched market-implied odds, where uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates roughly equal trader weight on sub-5°C or 14°C-plus extremes. Historical September minima average around 8–9°C, with recent clear nights showing 1–2°C variability from forecast adjustments. Updated runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the precise low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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