**Official forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), the likely resolution station, consistently project a daily high near 79°F on September 13, 2026, aligning with the 71% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology features marine-layer influence that caps coastal highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, with morning low clouds giving way to afternoon sun and southwest winds around 15 mph. Recent model runs and live observations show temperatures climbing through the mid-70s by midday without signs of stronger offshore flow or anomalous warming that would push readings into the low 80s. This keeps the 76-77°F and 80-81°F outcomes as secondary possibilities at 15% and 11.5%, respectively, while lower or much higher bands remain negligible given current atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13?
78-79°F 71%
76-77°F 15%
80-81°F 12%
82-83°F 3%
$24,540 Обс.
$24,540 Обс.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
71%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 71%
76-77°F 15%
80-81°F 12%
82-83°F 3%
$24,540 Обс.
$24,540 Обс.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
71%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), the likely resolution station, consistently project a daily high near 79°F on September 13, 2026, aligning with the 71% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology features marine-layer influence that caps coastal highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, with morning low clouds giving way to afternoon sun and southwest winds around 15 mph. Recent model runs and live observations show temperatures climbing through the mid-70s by midday without signs of stronger offshore flow or anomalous warming that would push readings into the low 80s. This keeps the 76-77°F and 80-81°F outcomes as secondary possibilities at 15% and 11.5%, respectively, while lower or much higher bands remain negligible given current atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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