Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and others indicate scattered rain and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu through mid-September, with highs on the 16th projected between 22–25°C depending on the timing and intensity of precipitation. This variability in steering patterns and moisture levels creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as even modest differences in afternoon clearing could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical September baselines in the Sichuan basin average near 25–27°C, but the current wetter regime and high humidity are suppressing maxima closer to early-month trends. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
25°C 25%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
13%
24°C
21%
25°C
25%
26°C
20%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 25%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$100 Обс.
4%
20°C
$30 Обс.
3%
21°C
$0 Обс.
4%
22°C
$0 Обс.
10%
23°C
$0 Обс.
13%
24°C
$0 Обс.
21%
25°C
$0 Обс.
25%
26°C
$5 Обс.
20%
27°C
$33 Обс.
8%
28°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and others indicate scattered rain and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu through mid-September, with highs on the 16th projected between 22–25°C depending on the timing and intensity of precipitation. This variability in steering patterns and moisture levels creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as even modest differences in afternoon clearing could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical September baselines in the Sichuan basin average near 25–27°C, but the current wetter regime and high humidity are suppressing maxima closer to early-month trends. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$169Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and others indicate scattered rain and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu through mid-September, with highs on the 16th projected between 22–25°C depending on the timing and intensity of precipitation. This variability in steering patterns and moisture levels creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as even modest differences in afternoon clearing could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical September baselines in the Sichuan basin average near 25–27°C, but the current wetter regime and high humidity are suppressing maxima closer to early-month trends. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$169Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and others indicate scattered rain and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu through mid-September, with highs on the 16th projected between 22–25°C depending on the timing and intensity of precipitation. This variability in steering patterns and moisture levels creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as even modest differences in afternoon clearing could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical September baselines in the Sichuan basin average near 25–27°C, but the current wetter regime and high humidity are suppressing maxima closer to early-month trends. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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