Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chengdu’s September 14 daytime maximum near 25–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with only a modest rain chance, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 25–27 °C. Light southerly or variable winds and moderate humidity are expected to limit afternoon heating, while any earlier cloud build-up or brief showers could shave a degree or two off the peak. Historical September averages for the Sichuan basin hover near 26 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology rather than signaling an outlier. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow spread between consecutive model runs more heavily than longer-range variability, with the next major forecast updates from national meteorological centers likely to refine resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
27°C 26%
25°C 23%
26°C 21%
24°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
13%
25°C
23%
26°C
21%
27°C
26%
28°C
12%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 26%
25°C 23%
26°C 21%
24°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
23°C
$7 Обс.
6%
24°C
$25 Обс.
13%
25°C
$0 Обс.
23%
26°C
$0 Обс.
21%
27°C
$61 Обс.
26%
28°C
$0 Обс.
12%
29°C
$0 Обс.
9%
30°C
$0 Обс.
3%
31°C
$0 Обс.
3%
32°C or higher
$6 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chengdu’s September 14 daytime maximum near 25–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with only a modest rain chance, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 25–27 °C. Light southerly or variable winds and moderate humidity are expected to limit afternoon heating, while any earlier cloud build-up or brief showers could shave a degree or two off the peak. Historical September averages for the Sichuan basin hover near 26 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology rather than signaling an outlier. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow spread between consecutive model runs more heavily than longer-range variability, with the next major forecast updates from national meteorological centers likely to refine resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$99Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chengdu’s September 14 daytime maximum near 25–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with only a modest rain chance, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 25–27 °C. Light southerly or variable winds and moderate humidity are expected to limit afternoon heating, while any earlier cloud build-up or brief showers could shave a degree or two off the peak. Historical September averages for the Sichuan basin hover near 26 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology rather than signaling an outlier. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow spread between consecutive model runs more heavily than longer-range variability, with the next major forecast updates from national meteorological centers likely to refine resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$99Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chengdu’s September 14 daytime maximum near 25–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with only a modest rain chance, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 25–27 °C. Light southerly or variable winds and moderate humidity are expected to limit afternoon heating, while any earlier cloud build-up or brief showers could shave a degree or two off the peak. Historical September averages for the Sichuan basin hover near 26 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology rather than signaling an outlier. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow spread between consecutive model runs more heavily than longer-range variability, with the next major forecast updates from national meteorological centers likely to refine resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання