Forecast models for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature on September 16 likely in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent days of rain have maintained elevated soil moisture and suppressed daytime heating, keeping the thermal range compressed around 16–19°C lows according to consensus runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF. Model spread arises from differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity, which can either enhance cooling through evaporative effects or retain heat under thicker cloud decks. With the market showing near-even odds between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes alongside clustered probabilities around 17–22°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical for short-range guidance this far ahead of resolution, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation efficiency could tip the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
98%
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
40%
18°C
$0 Обс.
40%
19°C
$0 Обс.
39%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature on September 16 likely in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent days of rain have maintained elevated soil moisture and suppressed daytime heating, keeping the thermal range compressed around 16–19°C lows according to consensus runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF. Model spread arises from differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity, which can either enhance cooling through evaporative effects or retain heat under thicker cloud decks. With the market showing near-even odds between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes alongside clustered probabilities around 17–22°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical for short-range guidance this far ahead of resolution, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation efficiency could tip the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature on September 16 likely in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent days of rain have maintained elevated soil moisture and suppressed daytime heating, keeping the thermal range compressed around 16–19°C lows according to consensus runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF. Model spread arises from differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity, which can either enhance cooling through evaporative effects or retain heat under thicker cloud decks. With the market showing near-even odds between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes alongside clustered probabilities around 17–22°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical for short-range guidance this far ahead of resolution, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation efficiency could tip the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature on September 16 likely in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent days of rain have maintained elevated soil moisture and suppressed daytime heating, keeping the thermal range compressed around 16–19°C lows according to consensus runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF. Model spread arises from differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity, which can either enhance cooling through evaporative effects or retain heat under thicker cloud decks. With the market showing near-even odds between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes alongside clustered probabilities around 17–22°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical for short-range guidance this far ahead of resolution, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation efficiency could tip the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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