**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 14 high temperature in Shanghai of 28–29 °C under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow.** Recent observations show stable conditions with light-to-moderate northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk, following slightly warmer days earlier in the week. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind strength create the narrow spread between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes; ensemble guidance shows limited divergence at this short lead time. Historical September climatology for the region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s °C absent strong synoptic forcing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily, producing closely matched probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than bias.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
29°C 53%
28°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
13%
28°C
38%
29°C
53%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 53%
28°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
25°C
$0 Обс.
5%
26°C
$0 Обс.
7%
27°C
$46 Обс.
13%
28°C
$109 Обс.
38%
29°C
$545 Обс.
53%
30°C
$46 Обс.
10%
31°C
$31 Обс.
3%
32°C
$0 Обс.
5%
33°C
$0 Обс.
2%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 14 high temperature in Shanghai of 28–29 °C under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow.** Recent observations show stable conditions with light-to-moderate northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk, following slightly warmer days earlier in the week. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind strength create the narrow spread between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes; ensemble guidance shows limited divergence at this short lead time. Historical September climatology for the region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s °C absent strong synoptic forcing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily, producing closely matched probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$777Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 14 high temperature in Shanghai of 28–29 °C under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow.** Recent observations show stable conditions with light-to-moderate northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk, following slightly warmer days earlier in the week. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind strength create the narrow spread between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes; ensemble guidance shows limited divergence at this short lead time. Historical September climatology for the region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s °C absent strong synoptic forcing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily, producing closely matched probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$777Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 14 high temperature in Shanghai of 28–29 °C under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow.** Recent observations show stable conditions with light-to-moderate northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk, following slightly warmer days earlier in the week. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind strength create the narrow spread between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes; ensemble guidance shows limited divergence at this short lead time. Historical September climatology for the region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s °C absent strong synoptic forcing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily, producing closely matched probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than bias.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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