Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 22–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early autumn. These conditions favor radiative cooling overnight but limit further drops, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C. September climatology shows average lows around 20–22°C, yet the current pattern lacks strong cold-air advection or frontal passages that could push readings lower. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keeps 22°C and 25°C as plausible tails, with new runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 29%
21°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
12%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
29%
23°C
44%
24°C
37%
25°C
16%
26°C
20%
27°C
23%
28°C
24%
29°C or higher
16%
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 29%
21°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
12%
20°C
$0 Обс.
22%
21°C
$0 Обс.
28%
22°C
$0 Обс.
29%
23°C
$418 Обс.
44%
24°C
$266 Обс.
37%
25°C
$0 Обс.
16%
26°C
$0 Обс.
20%
27°C
$0 Обс.
23%
28°C
$0 Обс.
24%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 22–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early autumn. These conditions favor radiative cooling overnight but limit further drops, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C. September climatology shows average lows around 20–22°C, yet the current pattern lacks strong cold-air advection or frontal passages that could push readings lower. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keeps 22°C and 25°C as plausible tails, with new runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$683Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 22–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early autumn. These conditions favor radiative cooling overnight but limit further drops, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C. September climatology shows average lows around 20–22°C, yet the current pattern lacks strong cold-air advection or frontal passages that could push readings lower. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keeps 22°C and 25°C as plausible tails, with new runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$683Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 22–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early autumn. These conditions favor radiative cooling overnight but limit further drops, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C. September climatology shows average lows around 20–22°C, yet the current pattern lacks strong cold-air advection or frontal passages that could push readings lower. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keeps 22°C and 25°C as plausible tails, with new runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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