Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models show Madrid under clear skies with light southerly winds on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 34 °C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the market’s leading 53.5 % implied probability for 34 °C, while the 23.5 % and 21.5 % shares for 33 °C and 35 °C reflect typical model spread and minor variations in timing of peak heating. The projected value sits well above the 1991–2020 September 14 average of 26.8 °C but remains below the all-time record of 34.4 °C set in 1987. Updated AEMET guidance issued September 11–12 indicates steady warming through Tuesday with negligible precipitation risk, leaving little scope for large downward revisions before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
34°C 54%
33°C 24%
35°C 22%
32°C 1.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
24%
34°C
54%
35°C
22%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 24%
35°C 22%
32°C 1.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
29°C or below
$191 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$351 Обс.
1%
31°C
$196 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$208 Обс.
2%
33°C
$868 Обс.
24%
34°C
$993 Обс.
54%
35°C
$1,208 Обс.
22%
36°C
$231 Обс.
2%
37°C
$196 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$196 Обс.
1%
39°C or higher
$211 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models show Madrid under clear skies with light southerly winds on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 34 °C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the market’s leading 53.5 % implied probability for 34 °C, while the 23.5 % and 21.5 % shares for 33 °C and 35 °C reflect typical model spread and minor variations in timing of peak heating. The projected value sits well above the 1991–2020 September 14 average of 26.8 °C but remains below the all-time record of 34.4 °C set in 1987. Updated AEMET guidance issued September 11–12 indicates steady warming through Tuesday with negligible precipitation risk, leaving little scope for large downward revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,849Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models show Madrid under clear skies with light southerly winds on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 34 °C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the market’s leading 53.5 % implied probability for 34 °C, while the 23.5 % and 21.5 % shares for 33 °C and 35 °C reflect typical model spread and minor variations in timing of peak heating. The projected value sits well above the 1991–2020 September 14 average of 26.8 °C but remains below the all-time record of 34.4 °C set in 1987. Updated AEMET guidance issued September 11–12 indicates steady warming through Tuesday with negligible precipitation risk, leaving little scope for large downward revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,849Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting global models show Madrid under clear skies with light southerly winds on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 34 °C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the market’s leading 53.5 % implied probability for 34 °C, while the 23.5 % and 21.5 % shares for 33 °C and 35 °C reflect typical model spread and minor variations in timing of peak heating. The projected value sits well above the 1991–2020 September 14 average of 26.8 °C but remains below the all-time record of 34.4 °C set in 1987. Updated AEMET guidance issued September 11–12 indicates steady warming through Tuesday with negligible precipitation risk, leaving little scope for large downward revisions before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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