Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS, GFS, and European ensembles show Munich under stable high pressure with clear to partly cloudy skies on September 12, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23°C. This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the strongest implied probability at 51% as traders weigh consistent afternoon readings near 22–23°C against the long-term September 12 average high of 20°C. Light northwest winds and low humidity are expected to limit further warming, keeping 24°C a secondary possibility while probabilities drop sharply above 25°C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 12?
23°C 56%
22°C 22%
24°C 12%
21°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
9%
22°C
22%
23°C
56%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 56%
22°C 22%
24°C 12%
21°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C
$12 Обс.
6%
21°C
$7 Обс.
9%
22°C
$210 Обс.
22%
23°C
$376 Обс.
56%
24°C
$7 Обс.
12%
25°C
$11 Обс.
2%
26°C
$7 Обс.
1%
27°C
$7 Обс.
1%
28°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS, GFS, and European ensembles show Munich under stable high pressure with clear to partly cloudy skies on September 12, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23°C. This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the strongest implied probability at 51% as traders weigh consistent afternoon readings near 22–23°C against the long-term September 12 average high of 20°C. Light northwest winds and low humidity are expected to limit further warming, keeping 24°C a secondary possibility while probabilities drop sharply above 25°C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$567Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS, GFS, and European ensembles show Munich under stable high pressure with clear to partly cloudy skies on September 12, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23°C. This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the strongest implied probability at 51% as traders weigh consistent afternoon readings near 22–23°C against the long-term September 12 average high of 20°C. Light northwest winds and low humidity are expected to limit further warming, keeping 24°C a secondary possibility while probabilities drop sharply above 25°C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$567Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS, GFS, and European ensembles show Munich under stable high pressure with clear to partly cloudy skies on September 12, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23°C. This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the strongest implied probability at 51% as traders weigh consistent afternoon readings near 22–23°C against the long-term September 12 average high of 20°C. Light northwest winds and low humidity are expected to limit further warming, keeping 24°C a secondary possibility while probabilities drop sharply above 25°C. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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