Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show mostly cloudy conditions over Wuhan on September 16 with easterly winds of 3–7 m/s and limited solar insolation, supporting a daytime maximum near 27–28°C. This aligns with mid-September climatology of 28–30°C highs but reflects an incoming cooler air mass that begins suppressing temperatures by late day. Model spread arises from variable cloud timing and moisture, creating the tight 27–28°C market split at roughly 59% combined implied probability. Official resolution will rely on China Meteorological Administration station readings, with any earlier clearing or delayed frontal passage able to shift the outcome between these bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 16?
28°C 31%
27°C 29%
26°C 19%
29°C 15%
НОВЕ
$10,605 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,605 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
19%
27°C
29%
28°C
31%
29°C
15%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 31%
27°C 29%
26°C 19%
29°C 15%
НОВЕ
$10,605 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,605 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
$438 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$840 Обс.
1%
24°C
$264 Обс.
3%
25°C
$989 Обс.
6%
26°C
$1,671 Обс.
19%
27°C
$1,353 Обс.
29%
28°C
$1,587 Обс.
31%
29°C
$1,293 Обс.
15%
30°C
$1,254 Обс.
4%
31°C
$766 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$151 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show mostly cloudy conditions over Wuhan on September 16 with easterly winds of 3–7 m/s and limited solar insolation, supporting a daytime maximum near 27–28°C. This aligns with mid-September climatology of 28–30°C highs but reflects an incoming cooler air mass that begins suppressing temperatures by late day. Model spread arises from variable cloud timing and moisture, creating the tight 27–28°C market split at roughly 59% combined implied probability. Official resolution will rely on China Meteorological Administration station readings, with any earlier clearing or delayed frontal passage able to shift the outcome between these bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,605Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show mostly cloudy conditions over Wuhan on September 16 with easterly winds of 3–7 m/s and limited solar insolation, supporting a daytime maximum near 27–28°C. This aligns with mid-September climatology of 28–30°C highs but reflects an incoming cooler air mass that begins suppressing temperatures by late day. Model spread arises from variable cloud timing and moisture, creating the tight 27–28°C market split at roughly 59% combined implied probability. Official resolution will rely on China Meteorological Administration station readings, with any earlier clearing or delayed frontal passage able to shift the outcome between these bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,605Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show mostly cloudy conditions over Wuhan on September 16 with easterly winds of 3–7 m/s and limited solar insolation, supporting a daytime maximum near 27–28°C. This aligns with mid-September climatology of 28–30°C highs but reflects an incoming cooler air mass that begins suppressing temperatures by late day. Model spread arises from variable cloud timing and moisture, creating the tight 27–28°C market split at roughly 59% combined implied probability. Official resolution will rely on China Meteorological Administration station readings, with any earlier clearing or delayed frontal passage able to shift the outcome between these bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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