**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a northeast monsoon and aloft high pressure, producing east winds of force 4–5 and minimal rain risk.** This aligns with recent actual highs near 30–31°C on September 15–16 and supports the market's leading 31°C outcome (39% implied probability). Nearby probabilities for 30°C (27.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat island effects, or minor model adjustments in the final hours. Stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation chances limit upside potential beyond 32°C while keeping downside risks contained.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
31°C 41%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
41%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 41%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
24°C or below
$339 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$253 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$400 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$241 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$159 Обс.
2%
29°C
$230 Обс.
7%
30°C
$348 Обс.
28%
31°C
$831 Обс.
41%
32°C
$2,317 Обс.
23%
33°C
$286 Обс.
4%
34°C or higher
$271 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a northeast monsoon and aloft high pressure, producing east winds of force 4–5 and minimal rain risk.**
This aligns with recent actual highs near 30–31°C on September 15–16 and supports the market's leading 31°C outcome (39% implied probability). Nearby probabilities for 30°C (27.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat island effects, or minor model adjustments in the final hours. Stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation chances limit upside potential beyond 32°C while keeping downside risks contained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,675Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a northeast monsoon and aloft high pressure, producing east winds of force 4–5 and minimal rain risk.**
This aligns with recent actual highs near 30–31°C on September 15–16 and supports the market's leading 31°C outcome (39% implied probability). Nearby probabilities for 30°C (27.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat island effects, or minor model adjustments in the final hours. Stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation chances limit upside potential beyond 32°C while keeping downside risks contained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,675Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a northeast monsoon and aloft high pressure, producing east winds of force 4–5 and minimal rain risk.** This aligns with recent actual highs near 30–31°C on September 15–16 and supports the market's leading 31°C outcome (39% implied probability). Nearby probabilities for 30°C (27.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat island effects, or minor model adjustments in the final hours. Stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation chances limit upside potential beyond 32°C while keeping downside risks contained.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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