Recent numerical weather model consensus points to a peak temperature of 22–25°C in Mexico City on September 18, driven by persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limit daytime heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. September climatology favors moderate highs near 24°C under similar conditions, with cloud cover reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures from exceeding model guidance. Multiple runs show afternoon maxima clustered around 23–24°C, aligning with the strongest market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes while assigning lower odds to 25°C or higher. Updated forecast data releases and final official station observations will determine resolution within the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature predictions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
24°C 42%
23°C 26%
25°C or higher 25%
22°C 14%
НОВЕ
$10,467 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,467 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
26%
24°C
42%
25°C or higher
25%
24°C 42%
23°C 26%
25°C or higher 25%
22°C 14%
НОВЕ
$10,467 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,467 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$31 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$53 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$509 Обс.
1%
22°C
$2,709 Обс.
14%
23°C
$1,835 Обс.
26%
24°C
$2,732 Обс.
42%
25°C or higher
$2,475 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus points to a peak temperature of 22–25°C in Mexico City on September 18, driven by persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limit daytime heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. September climatology favors moderate highs near 24°C under similar conditions, with cloud cover reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures from exceeding model guidance. Multiple runs show afternoon maxima clustered around 23–24°C, aligning with the strongest market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes while assigning lower odds to 25°C or higher. Updated forecast data releases and final official station observations will determine resolution within the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,467Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus points to a peak temperature of 22–25°C in Mexico City on September 18, driven by persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limit daytime heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. September climatology favors moderate highs near 24°C under similar conditions, with cloud cover reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures from exceeding model guidance. Multiple runs show afternoon maxima clustered around 23–24°C, aligning with the strongest market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes while assigning lower odds to 25°C or higher. Updated forecast data releases and final official station observations will determine resolution within the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,467Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus points to a peak temperature of 22–25°C in Mexico City on September 18, driven by persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limit daytime heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. September climatology favors moderate highs near 24°C under similar conditions, with cloud cover reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures from exceeding model guidance. Multiple runs show afternoon maxima clustered around 23–24°C, aligning with the strongest market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes while assigning lower odds to 25°C or higher. Updated forecast data releases and final official station observations will determine resolution within the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature predictions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання