Forecast models from multiple agencies project a peak near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under sunny-to-partly-cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity near 65-75%. This aligns with late-summer subtropical patterns where daytime insolation drives highs 1–2°C above the 30°C seasonal baseline when cloud cover remains limited. Slight divergences in model runs arise from uncertainties in afternoon convection timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap the maximum at 31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, with traders weighting official guidance against historical September extremes rarely exceeding 34°C absent strong high-pressure anomalies. Updated regional forecasts expected within 24 hours may refine resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
31°C 23%
29°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
15%
30°C
10%
31°C
23%
32°C
32%
33°C
23%
34°C
9%
35°C
15%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
31°C 23%
29°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
$96 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$63 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
15%
30°C
$5 Обс.
10%
31°C
$858 Обс.
23%
32°C
$74 Обс.
32%
33°C
$5 Обс.
23%
34°C
$5 Обс.
9%
35°C
$0 Обс.
15%
36°C
$0 Обс.
7%
37°C or higher
$111 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies project a peak near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under sunny-to-partly-cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity near 65-75%. This aligns with late-summer subtropical patterns where daytime insolation drives highs 1–2°C above the 30°C seasonal baseline when cloud cover remains limited. Slight divergences in model runs arise from uncertainties in afternoon convection timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap the maximum at 31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, with traders weighting official guidance against historical September extremes rarely exceeding 34°C absent strong high-pressure anomalies. Updated regional forecasts expected within 24 hours may refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,202Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies project a peak near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under sunny-to-partly-cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity near 65-75%. This aligns with late-summer subtropical patterns where daytime insolation drives highs 1–2°C above the 30°C seasonal baseline when cloud cover remains limited. Slight divergences in model runs arise from uncertainties in afternoon convection timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap the maximum at 31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, with traders weighting official guidance against historical September extremes rarely exceeding 34°C absent strong high-pressure anomalies. Updated regional forecasts expected within 24 hours may refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,202Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple agencies project a peak near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under sunny-to-partly-cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity near 65-75%. This aligns with late-summer subtropical patterns where daytime insolation drives highs 1–2°C above the 30°C seasonal baseline when cloud cover remains limited. Slight divergences in model runs arise from uncertainties in afternoon convection timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap the maximum at 31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, with traders weighting official guidance against historical September extremes rarely exceeding 34°C absent strong high-pressure anomalies. Updated regional forecasts expected within 24 hours may refine resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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