Recent National Weather Service forecasts show a northerly flow behind a cold front expected to deliver clear to partly cloudy skies over New York City on September 19, supporting a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 60s°F. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered at 60–65°F, reflecting model consensus on radiational cooling under light northeast winds and dew points falling into the mid-40s. The pattern follows typical late-September climatology, with an average low near 60.5°F, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the overnight low by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and official observations through the 18th remain the key variables for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on September 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 19?
60-61°F 30%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 24%
58-59°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
55°F or below
7%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
5%
60-61°F 30%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 24%
58-59°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Обс.
7%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
11%
58-59°F
$63 Обс.
19%
60-61°F
$2 Обс.
30%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
27%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
24%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
19%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
11%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
7%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
5%
74°F or higher
$0 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts show a northerly flow behind a cold front expected to deliver clear to partly cloudy skies over New York City on September 19, supporting a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 60s°F. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered at 60–65°F, reflecting model consensus on radiational cooling under light northeast winds and dew points falling into the mid-40s. The pattern follows typical late-September climatology, with an average low near 60.5°F, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the overnight low by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and official observations through the 18th remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts show a northerly flow behind a cold front expected to deliver clear to partly cloudy skies over New York City on September 19, supporting a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 60s°F. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered at 60–65°F, reflecting model consensus on radiational cooling under light northeast winds and dew points falling into the mid-40s. The pattern follows typical late-September climatology, with an average low near 60.5°F, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the overnight low by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and official observations through the 18th remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts show a northerly flow behind a cold front expected to deliver clear to partly cloudy skies over New York City on September 19, supporting a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 60s°F. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered at 60–65°F, reflecting model consensus on radiational cooling under light northeast winds and dew points falling into the mid-40s. The pattern follows typical late-September climatology, with an average low near 60.5°F, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the overnight low by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and official observations through the 18th remain the key variables for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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