**Persistent rain and cloud cover from a lingering frontal system are capping daytime heating in Tokyo, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range for the September 17 maximum.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a high near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, consistent with recent days’ suppressed temperatures (e.g., 22–24°C on the 16th amid heavy rain). Mid-September climatology favors gradual cooling after summer, and the lack of clearing or southerly flow reduces upside potential for 26°C+. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 24°C leading at 38.5% as models cluster tightly around that value ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
24°C 39%
23°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
25%
24°C
39%
25°C
23%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$92 Обс.
2%
20°C
$120 Обс.
2%
21°C
$266 Обс.
4%
22°C
$287 Обс.
8%
23°C
$484 Обс.
25%
24°C
$1,016 Обс.
39%
25°C
$1,474 Обс.
23%
26°C
$278 Обс.
5%
27°C
$197 Обс.
2%
28°C
$147 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$579 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and cloud cover from a lingering frontal system are capping daytime heating in Tokyo, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range for the September 17 maximum.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a high near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, consistent with recent days’ suppressed temperatures (e.g., 22–24°C on the 16th amid heavy rain). Mid-September climatology favors gradual cooling after summer, and the lack of clearing or southerly flow reduces upside potential for 26°C+. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 24°C leading at 38.5% as models cluster tightly around that value ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,939Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and cloud cover from a lingering frontal system are capping daytime heating in Tokyo, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range for the September 17 maximum.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a high near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, consistent with recent days’ suppressed temperatures (e.g., 22–24°C on the 16th amid heavy rain). Mid-September climatology favors gradual cooling after summer, and the lack of clearing or southerly flow reduces upside potential for 26°C+. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 24°C leading at 38.5% as models cluster tightly around that value ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,939Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain and cloud cover from a lingering frontal system are capping daytime heating in Tokyo, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range for the September 17 maximum.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a high near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, consistent with recent days’ suppressed temperatures (e.g., 22–24°C on the 16th amid heavy rain). Mid-September climatology favors gradual cooling after summer, and the lack of clearing or southerly flow reduces upside potential for 26°C+. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 24°C leading at 38.5% as models cluster tightly around that value ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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