Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show stable high-pressure ridging over the Yellow Sea, with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near 25–27 °C for Qingdao on September 19. This places the most likely outcomes in the upper 20s °C range, aligning with climatological September averages for the coastal station while reflecting modest warming from recent sea-surface temperatures around 24–25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 32.5 % for 29 °C suggests some models or ensemble members still allow for localized heating under clearer skies or slight model bias toward warmer solutions. Updated runs and official observations on the 18th–19th will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
30°C 55%
29°C 33%
31°C 11%
27°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
55%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
4%
30°C 55%
29°C 33%
31°C 11%
27°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
$193 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
3%
26°C
$0 Обс.
3%
27°C
$0 Обс.
9%
28°C
$17 Обс.
6%
29°C
$50 Обс.
33%
30°C
$292 Обс.
55%
31°C
$92 Обс.
11%
32°C or higher
$17 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show stable high-pressure ridging over the Yellow Sea, with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near 25–27 °C for Qingdao on September 19. This places the most likely outcomes in the upper 20s °C range, aligning with climatological September averages for the coastal station while reflecting modest warming from recent sea-surface temperatures around 24–25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 32.5 % for 29 °C suggests some models or ensemble members still allow for localized heating under clearer skies or slight model bias toward warmer solutions. Updated runs and official observations on the 18th–19th will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$723Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show stable high-pressure ridging over the Yellow Sea, with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near 25–27 °C for Qingdao on September 19. This places the most likely outcomes in the upper 20s °C range, aligning with climatological September averages for the coastal station while reflecting modest warming from recent sea-surface temperatures around 24–25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 32.5 % for 29 °C suggests some models or ensemble members still allow for localized heating under clearer skies or slight model bias toward warmer solutions. Updated runs and official observations on the 18th–19th will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$723Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show stable high-pressure ridging over the Yellow Sea, with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near 25–27 °C for Qingdao on September 19. This places the most likely outcomes in the upper 20s °C range, aligning with climatological September averages for the coastal station while reflecting modest warming from recent sea-surface temperatures around 24–25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 32.5 % for 29 °C suggests some models or ensemble members still allow for localized heating under clearer skies or slight model bias toward warmer solutions. Updated runs and official observations on the 18th–19th will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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