**Current atmospheric conditions over eastern China feature stable southerly flow and weak pressure gradients, supporting minimum temperatures near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 19.** Multiple forecast models consistently project overnight lows in this range under partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs of 25–27°C and light to moderate southeast winds limiting radiative cooling. The market’s near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 18–23°C, reflects residual ensemble spread in short-range guidance—particularly regarding possible shifts in coastal marine influence or minor cold-air intrusions. No strong synoptic features, such as typhoon remnants or sharp fronts, are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
14°C or below 100%
24°C or higher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
14°C or below
100%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
98%
14°C or below 100%
24°C or higher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
40%
19°C
$0 Обс.
40%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current atmospheric conditions over eastern China feature stable southerly flow and weak pressure gradients, supporting minimum temperatures near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 19.** Multiple forecast models consistently project overnight lows in this range under partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs of 25–27°C and light to moderate southeast winds limiting radiative cooling. The market’s near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 18–23°C, reflects residual ensemble spread in short-range guidance—particularly regarding possible shifts in coastal marine influence or minor cold-air intrusions. No strong synoptic features, such as typhoon remnants or sharp fronts, are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current atmospheric conditions over eastern China feature stable southerly flow and weak pressure gradients, supporting minimum temperatures near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 19.** Multiple forecast models consistently project overnight lows in this range under partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs of 25–27°C and light to moderate southeast winds limiting radiative cooling. The market’s near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 18–23°C, reflects residual ensemble spread in short-range guidance—particularly regarding possible shifts in coastal marine influence or minor cold-air intrusions. No strong synoptic features, such as typhoon remnants or sharp fronts, are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current atmospheric conditions over eastern China feature stable southerly flow and weak pressure gradients, supporting minimum temperatures near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 19.** Multiple forecast models consistently project overnight lows in this range under partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs of 25–27°C and light to moderate southeast winds limiting radiative cooling. The market’s near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 18–23°C, reflects residual ensemble spread in short-range guidance—particularly regarding possible shifts in coastal marine influence or minor cold-air intrusions. No strong synoptic features, such as typhoon remnants or sharp fronts, are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання