Forecast consensus from multiple models points to daytime highs of 32–34°C in Shenzhen on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with light easterly or variable winds. Subtropical monsoon patterns and weak steering flow allow typical late-summer insolation to drive peak temperatures into the low 30s °C, while any afternoon convection or thin cloud cover caps extremes. Recent runs show stable conditions without incoming fronts or heavy rain bands that would suppress readings, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C as the mode. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 19?
33°C 40%
32°C 27%
34°C 25%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
27%
33°C
40%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 27%
34°C 25%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
28°C or below
$111 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$129 Обс.
1%
30°C
$154 Обс.
2%
31°C
$93 Обс.
9%
32°C
$256 Обс.
27%
33°C
$671 Обс.
40%
34°C
$307 Обс.
25%
35°C
$81 Обс.
6%
36°C
$81 Обс.
2%
37°C
$53 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$369 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to daytime highs of 32–34°C in Shenzhen on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with light easterly or variable winds. Subtropical monsoon patterns and weak steering flow allow typical late-summer insolation to drive peak temperatures into the low 30s °C, while any afternoon convection or thin cloud cover caps extremes. Recent runs show stable conditions without incoming fronts or heavy rain bands that would suppress readings, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C as the mode. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,304Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to daytime highs of 32–34°C in Shenzhen on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with light easterly or variable winds. Subtropical monsoon patterns and weak steering flow allow typical late-summer insolation to drive peak temperatures into the low 30s °C, while any afternoon convection or thin cloud cover caps extremes. Recent runs show stable conditions without incoming fronts or heavy rain bands that would suppress readings, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C as the mode. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,304Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to daytime highs of 32–34°C in Shenzhen on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with light easterly or variable winds. Subtropical monsoon patterns and weak steering flow allow typical late-summer insolation to drive peak temperatures into the low 30s °C, while any afternoon convection or thin cloud cover caps extremes. Recent runs show stable conditions without incoming fronts or heavy rain bands that would suppress readings, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C as the mode. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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