Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s September 19 high will likely peak near 17–19 °C under southwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers that limit insolation. These conditions follow a frontal passage on the 18th that lowered daytime maxima while keeping the airmass mild for mid-September. Historical climatology places average highs around 16–18 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution traders favor. With only two days until resolution, updates to short-range guidance on cloud thickness and precipitation timing represent the main variables that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C and thereby influence the current market-implied probabilities centered on 19 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
19°C 51%
18°C 27%
20°C 27%
16°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
15%
17°C
13%
18°C
27%
19°C
53%
20°C
16%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
10%
19°C 51%
18°C 27%
20°C 27%
16°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
$111 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$111 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$63 Обс.
2%
16°C
$0 Обс.
15%
17°C
$8 Обс.
13%
18°C
$8 Обс.
27%
19°C
$182 Обс.
53%
20°C
$132 Обс.
16%
21°C
$8 Обс.
10%
22°C
$0 Обс.
10%
23°C or higher
$0 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s September 19 high will likely peak near 17–19 °C under southwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers that limit insolation. These conditions follow a frontal passage on the 18th that lowered daytime maxima while keeping the airmass mild for mid-September. Historical climatology places average highs around 16–18 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution traders favor. With only two days until resolution, updates to short-range guidance on cloud thickness and precipitation timing represent the main variables that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C and thereby influence the current market-implied probabilities centered on 19 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$624Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s September 19 high will likely peak near 17–19 °C under southwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers that limit insolation. These conditions follow a frontal passage on the 18th that lowered daytime maxima while keeping the airmass mild for mid-September. Historical climatology places average highs around 16–18 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution traders favor. With only two days until resolution, updates to short-range guidance on cloud thickness and precipitation timing represent the main variables that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C and thereby influence the current market-implied probabilities centered on 19 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$624Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s September 19 high will likely peak near 17–19 °C under southwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers that limit insolation. These conditions follow a frontal passage on the 18th that lowered daytime maxima while keeping the airmass mild for mid-September. Historical climatology places average highs around 16–18 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution traders favor. With only two days until resolution, updates to short-range guidance on cloud thickness and precipitation timing represent the main variables that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C and thereby influence the current market-implied probabilities centered on 19 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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