Forecast consensus from multiple models places Austin's September 19 high near 96–97°F under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 96–101°F bins. This reflects late-summer high-pressure dominance typical for central Texas, where strong insolation and low humidity support rapid daytime warming above the 90°F climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with slight upside risk if afternoon mixing weakens or subsidence strengthens, while any unexpected moisture or wind shift could cap readings in the mid-90s. Traders weigh these stable signals against historical variability on the date, where extremes have reached 101°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 19?
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 29%
94-95°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
21%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
10%
106°F or higher
6%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 29%
94-95°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
$0 Обс.
5%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$17 Обс.
9%
92-93°F
$20 Обс.
3%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
29%
98-99°F
$58 Обс.
21%
100-101°F
$272 Обс.
27%
102-103°F
$0 Обс.
17%
104-105°F
$0 Обс.
10%
106°F or higher
$0 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Austin's September 19 high near 96–97°F under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 96–101°F bins. This reflects late-summer high-pressure dominance typical for central Texas, where strong insolation and low humidity support rapid daytime warming above the 90°F climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with slight upside risk if afternoon mixing weakens or subsidence strengthens, while any unexpected moisture or wind shift could cap readings in the mid-90s. Traders weigh these stable signals against historical variability on the date, where extremes have reached 101°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$367Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Austin's September 19 high near 96–97°F under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 96–101°F bins. This reflects late-summer high-pressure dominance typical for central Texas, where strong insolation and low humidity support rapid daytime warming above the 90°F climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with slight upside risk if afternoon mixing weakens or subsidence strengthens, while any unexpected moisture or wind shift could cap readings in the mid-90s. Traders weigh these stable signals against historical variability on the date, where extremes have reached 101°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$367Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models places Austin's September 19 high near 96–97°F under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 96–101°F bins. This reflects late-summer high-pressure dominance typical for central Texas, where strong insolation and low humidity support rapid daytime warming above the 90°F climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with slight upside risk if afternoon mixing weakens or subsidence strengthens, while any unexpected moisture or wind shift could cap readings in the mid-90s. Traders weigh these stable signals against historical variability on the date, where extremes have reached 101°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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