Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in Guangzhou on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and modest moisture, consistent with the late-September climatological average high near 32°C. Trader positioning, however, assigns the highest implied probability to 35°C, reflecting model uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, potential reductions in cloud cover, and localized subsidence that could add 1–2°C. Lower outcomes around 33°C gain support if increased humidity or showers develop, while 36°C or higher would require stronger anticyclonic conditions or delayed sea-breeze cooling. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation at the Guangzhou station, with final model guidance and short-term trend updates expected to narrow the spread before the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
35°C 43%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
19%
34°C
23%
35°C
35%
36°C
20%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
2%
30°C
$0 Обс.
2%
31°C
$5 Обс.
3%
32°C
$0 Обс.
9%
33°C
$0 Обс.
19%
34°C
$0 Обс.
23%
35°C
$122 Обс.
35%
36°C
$0 Обс.
20%
37°C
$0 Обс.
10%
38°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in Guangzhou on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and modest moisture, consistent with the late-September climatological average high near 32°C. Trader positioning, however, assigns the highest implied probability to 35°C, reflecting model uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, potential reductions in cloud cover, and localized subsidence that could add 1–2°C. Lower outcomes around 33°C gain support if increased humidity or showers develop, while 36°C or higher would require stronger anticyclonic conditions or delayed sea-breeze cooling. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation at the Guangzhou station, with final model guidance and short-term trend updates expected to narrow the spread before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$127Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in Guangzhou on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and modest moisture, consistent with the late-September climatological average high near 32°C. Trader positioning, however, assigns the highest implied probability to 35°C, reflecting model uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, potential reductions in cloud cover, and localized subsidence that could add 1–2°C. Lower outcomes around 33°C gain support if increased humidity or showers develop, while 36°C or higher would require stronger anticyclonic conditions or delayed sea-breeze cooling. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation at the Guangzhou station, with final model guidance and short-term trend updates expected to narrow the spread before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$127Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in Guangzhou on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and modest moisture, consistent with the late-September climatological average high near 32°C. Trader positioning, however, assigns the highest implied probability to 35°C, reflecting model uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, potential reductions in cloud cover, and localized subsidence that could add 1–2°C. Lower outcomes around 33°C gain support if increased humidity or showers develop, while 36°C or higher would require stronger anticyclonic conditions or delayed sea-breeze cooling. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation at the Guangzhou station, with final model guidance and short-term trend updates expected to narrow the spread before the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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