Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 15–16°C in Helsinki on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 14–15°C, and the lack of strong warm advection or clear-sky periods keeps temperatures from exceeding 17°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 16°C (64%) and 15°C (30%) as model runs remain stable, with only modest spread in ensemble guidance regarding the precise timing and intensity of rainfall that could briefly affect the peak reading. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 18?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 18?
16°C 64%
15°C 31%
17°C 4%
14°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
31%
16°C
64%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 31%
17°C 4%
14°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
$495 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$474 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$673 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$534 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$870 Обс.
1%
14°C
$653 Обс.
2%
15°C
$1,091 Обс.
31%
16°C
$1,856 Обс.
64%
17°C
$857 Обс.
4%
18°C
$455 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$135 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 15–16°C in Helsinki on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 14–15°C, and the lack of strong warm advection or clear-sky periods keeps temperatures from exceeding 17°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 16°C (64%) and 15°C (30%) as model runs remain stable, with only modest spread in ensemble guidance regarding the precise timing and intensity of rainfall that could briefly affect the peak reading. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,093Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 15–16°C in Helsinki on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 14–15°C, and the lack of strong warm advection or clear-sky periods keeps temperatures from exceeding 17°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 16°C (64%) and 15°C (30%) as model runs remain stable, with only modest spread in ensemble guidance regarding the precise timing and intensity of rainfall that could briefly affect the peak reading. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,093Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 15–16°C in Helsinki on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 14–15°C, and the lack of strong warm advection or clear-sky periods keeps temperatures from exceeding 17°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 16°C (64%) and 15°C (30%) as model runs remain stable, with only modest spread in ensemble guidance regarding the precise timing and intensity of rainfall that could briefly affect the peak reading. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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