Recent observational data and forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao experienced clear skies and radiative cooling overnight, driving minimum temperatures to or below 15°C on September 14, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Historical September baselines for the coastal city typically feature lows in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius under similar high-pressure patterns, with current conditions showing dew points and wind patterns consistent with efficient surface heat loss. Traders appear to have incorporated real-time station reports confirming the threshold breach, reflecting aggregated confidence in verified measurements over model uncertainty. A realistic shift could occur only if official post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks raise the recorded minimum due to localized microclimate effects or instrument calibration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
15°C or below 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$741 Обс.
$741 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
15°C or below
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
15°C or below 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$741 Обс.
$741 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
15°C or below
$41 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$56 Обс.
No
17°C
$177 Обс.
No
18°C
$270 Обс.
No
19°C
$197 Обс.
No
20°C
$0 Обс.
No
21°C
$0 Обс.
No
22°C
$0 Обс.
No
23°C
$0 Обс.
No
24°C
$0 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao experienced clear skies and radiative cooling overnight, driving minimum temperatures to or below 15°C on September 14, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Historical September baselines for the coastal city typically feature lows in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius under similar high-pressure patterns, with current conditions showing dew points and wind patterns consistent with efficient surface heat loss. Traders appear to have incorporated real-time station reports confirming the threshold breach, reflecting aggregated confidence in verified measurements over model uncertainty. A realistic shift could occur only if official post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks raise the recorded minimum due to localized microclimate effects or instrument calibration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$741Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao experienced clear skies and radiative cooling overnight, driving minimum temperatures to or below 15°C on September 14, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Historical September baselines for the coastal city typically feature lows in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius under similar high-pressure patterns, with current conditions showing dew points and wind patterns consistent with efficient surface heat loss. Traders appear to have incorporated real-time station reports confirming the threshold breach, reflecting aggregated confidence in verified measurements over model uncertainty. A realistic shift could occur only if official post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks raise the recorded minimum due to localized microclimate effects or instrument calibration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$741Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Recent observational data and forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao experienced clear skies and radiative cooling overnight, driving minimum temperatures to or below 15°C on September 14, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Historical September baselines for the coastal city typically feature lows in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius under similar high-pressure patterns, with current conditions showing dew points and wind patterns consistent with efficient surface heat loss. Traders appear to have incorporated real-time station reports confirming the threshold breach, reflecting aggregated confidence in verified measurements over model uncertainty. A realistic shift could occur only if official post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks raise the recorded minimum due to localized microclimate effects or instrument calibration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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