Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C across London on 18 September under a mix of sunny intervals and increasing afternoon cloud, with light to moderate southwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by recent ensemble outputs showing limited diurnal warming potential, underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 20 °C. A high-pressure ridge building from the south is expected to suppress widespread rain but may allow enough low-level moisture and variable cloud to cap temperatures below the 22 °C threshold. Forecasters will issue updated guidance overnight and early on the 18th, with any shift in cloud timing or wind strength capable of nudging the recorded high between the tightly priced 19 °C and 21 °C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 18?
Highest temperature in London on September 18?
20°C 57%
21°C 28%
19°C 15%
18°C 2%
НОВЕ
$12,964 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,964 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
15%
20°C
57%
21°C
28%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 57%
21°C 28%
19°C 15%
18°C 2%
НОВЕ
$12,964 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,964 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$197 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$251 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$135 Обс.
1%
18°C
$998 Обс.
2%
19°C
$2,511 Обс.
15%
20°C
$3,836 Обс.
57%
21°C
$2,539 Обс.
28%
22°C
$1,021 Обс.
1%
23°C
$661 Обс.
1%
24°C
$253 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$562 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C across London on 18 September under a mix of sunny intervals and increasing afternoon cloud, with light to moderate southwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by recent ensemble outputs showing limited diurnal warming potential, underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 20 °C. A high-pressure ridge building from the south is expected to suppress widespread rain but may allow enough low-level moisture and variable cloud to cap temperatures below the 22 °C threshold. Forecasters will issue updated guidance overnight and early on the 18th, with any shift in cloud timing or wind strength capable of nudging the recorded high between the tightly priced 19 °C and 21 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,964Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C across London on 18 September under a mix of sunny intervals and increasing afternoon cloud, with light to moderate southwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by recent ensemble outputs showing limited diurnal warming potential, underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 20 °C. A high-pressure ridge building from the south is expected to suppress widespread rain but may allow enough low-level moisture and variable cloud to cap temperatures below the 22 °C threshold. Forecasters will issue updated guidance overnight and early on the 18th, with any shift in cloud timing or wind strength capable of nudging the recorded high between the tightly priced 19 °C and 21 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,964Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C across London on 18 September under a mix of sunny intervals and increasing afternoon cloud, with light to moderate southwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by recent ensemble outputs showing limited diurnal warming potential, underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 20 °C. A high-pressure ridge building from the south is expected to suppress widespread rain but may allow enough low-level moisture and variable cloud to cap temperatures below the 22 °C threshold. Forecasters will issue updated guidance overnight and early on the 18th, with any shift in cloud timing or wind strength capable of nudging the recorded high between the tightly priced 19 °C and 21 °C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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