Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a highest temperature in London on September 19 most likely between 21–23°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent southwest winds of 15–20 mph, combined with extensive low-to-mid-level cloud cover and light showers, are limiting daytime solar heating and capping afternoon peaks. A building high-pressure ridge will bring clearer conditions and warmer air only from September 20 onward. Minor differences in model timing for cloud clearance or wind shifts explain the spread across the three leading outcomes, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance most heavily ahead of any final model updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 19?
Highest temperature in London on September 19?
22°C 41%
21°C 32%
23°C 24%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
12%
21°C
32%
22°C
41%
23°C
24%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
21°C 32%
23°C 24%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
16°C or below
$209 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$117 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
3%
19°C
$0 Обс.
7%
20°C
$0 Обс.
12%
21°C
$275 Обс.
32%
22°C
$32 Обс.
41%
23°C
$27 Обс.
24%
24°C
$0 Обс.
7%
25°C
$0 Обс.
13%
26°C or higher
$57 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a highest temperature in London on September 19 most likely between 21–23°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent southwest winds of 15–20 mph, combined with extensive low-to-mid-level cloud cover and light showers, are limiting daytime solar heating and capping afternoon peaks. A building high-pressure ridge will bring clearer conditions and warmer air only from September 20 onward. Minor differences in model timing for cloud clearance or wind shifts explain the spread across the three leading outcomes, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance most heavily ahead of any final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$717Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a highest temperature in London on September 19 most likely between 21–23°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent southwest winds of 15–20 mph, combined with extensive low-to-mid-level cloud cover and light showers, are limiting daytime solar heating and capping afternoon peaks. A building high-pressure ridge will bring clearer conditions and warmer air only from September 20 onward. Minor differences in model timing for cloud clearance or wind shifts explain the spread across the three leading outcomes, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance most heavily ahead of any final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$717Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a highest temperature in London on September 19 most likely between 21–23°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent southwest winds of 15–20 mph, combined with extensive low-to-mid-level cloud cover and light showers, are limiting daytime solar heating and capping afternoon peaks. A building high-pressure ridge will bring clearer conditions and warmer air only from September 20 onward. Minor differences in model timing for cloud clearance or wind shifts explain the spread across the three leading outcomes, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance most heavily ahead of any final model updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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