**Latest high-resolution forecast models from the Met Office and GFS consensus point to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, positioning 11–12 °C as the most probable minimum for London on September 18.** These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after a mild daytime maximum near 21 °C, with dew points around 10 °C limiting further drops. Ensemble guidance shows little spread below 11 °C or above 13 °C, reflecting stable steering patterns and the absence of strong advection or cloud cover that could alter the outcome. Traders have aligned with this narrow range, as the implied probabilities closely track the latest model runs ahead of the overnight period when the daily low is typically recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 18?
Lowest temperature in London on September 18?
12°C 54%
11°C 29%
13°C 16%
8°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
29%
12°C
54%
13°C
16%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
2%
12°C 54%
11°C 29%
13°C 16%
8°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
7°C
$0 Обс.
2%
8°C
$0 Обс.
3%
9°C
$0 Обс.
3%
10°C
$29 Обс.
3%
11°C
$1,309 Обс.
29%
12°C
$1,479 Обс.
54%
13°C
$367 Обс.
16%
14°C
$0 Обс.
3%
15°C
$0 Обс.
2%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution forecast models from the Met Office and GFS consensus point to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, positioning 11–12 °C as the most probable minimum for London on September 18.**
These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after a mild daytime maximum near 21 °C, with dew points around 10 °C limiting further drops. Ensemble guidance shows little spread below 11 °C or above 13 °C, reflecting stable steering patterns and the absence of strong advection or cloud cover that could alter the outcome. Traders have aligned with this narrow range, as the implied probabilities closely track the latest model runs ahead of the overnight period when the daily low is typically recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,183Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution forecast models from the Met Office and GFS consensus point to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, positioning 11–12 °C as the most probable minimum for London on September 18.**
These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after a mild daytime maximum near 21 °C, with dew points around 10 °C limiting further drops. Ensemble guidance shows little spread below 11 °C or above 13 °C, reflecting stable steering patterns and the absence of strong advection or cloud cover that could alter the outcome. Traders have aligned with this narrow range, as the implied probabilities closely track the latest model runs ahead of the overnight period when the daily low is typically recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,183Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Latest high-resolution forecast models from the Met Office and GFS consensus point to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, positioning 11–12 °C as the most probable minimum for London on September 18.** These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after a mild daytime maximum near 21 °C, with dew points around 10 °C limiting further drops. Ensemble guidance shows little spread below 11 °C or above 13 °C, reflecting stable steering patterns and the absence of strong advection or cloud cover that could alter the outcome. Traders have aligned with this narrow range, as the implied probabilities closely track the latest model runs ahead of the overnight period when the daily low is typically recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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