Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate overnight lows near 10°C for London on September 17, driven by clear spells, moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions that permit heat loss after daytime highs around 19–20°C. Market-implied odds nonetheless favor a minimum of 14°C (51%) or 15°C (36.5%), reflecting trader expectations that urban heat-island effects at central stations or minor forecast adjustments will prevent deeper cooling. This contrasts with typical mid-September climatology of roughly 11–12°C lows. New model runs and real-time station data over the next 24 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the cooler outcomes currently priced lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 17?
Lowest temperature in London on September 17?
14°C 51%
15°C 37%
13°C 7%
12°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
51%
15°C
37%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
14°C 51%
15°C 37%
13°C 7%
12°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
11°C
$0 Обс.
3%
12°C
$52 Обс.
5%
13°C
$592 Обс.
7%
14°C
$870 Обс.
51%
15°C
$1,230 Обс.
37%
16°C
$0 Обс.
2%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C
$0 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate overnight lows near 10°C for London on September 17, driven by clear spells, moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions that permit heat loss after daytime highs around 19–20°C. Market-implied odds nonetheless favor a minimum of 14°C (51%) or 15°C (36.5%), reflecting trader expectations that urban heat-island effects at central stations or minor forecast adjustments will prevent deeper cooling. This contrasts with typical mid-September climatology of roughly 11–12°C lows. New model runs and real-time station data over the next 24 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the cooler outcomes currently priced lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,745Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate overnight lows near 10°C for London on September 17, driven by clear spells, moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions that permit heat loss after daytime highs around 19–20°C. Market-implied odds nonetheless favor a minimum of 14°C (51%) or 15°C (36.5%), reflecting trader expectations that urban heat-island effects at central stations or minor forecast adjustments will prevent deeper cooling. This contrasts with typical mid-September climatology of roughly 11–12°C lows. New model runs and real-time station data over the next 24 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the cooler outcomes currently priced lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,745Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate overnight lows near 10°C for London on September 17, driven by clear spells, moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions that permit heat loss after daytime highs around 19–20°C. Market-implied odds nonetheless favor a minimum of 14°C (51%) or 15°C (36.5%), reflecting trader expectations that urban heat-island effects at central stations or minor forecast adjustments will prevent deeper cooling. This contrasts with typical mid-September climatology of roughly 11–12°C lows. New model runs and real-time station data over the next 24 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the cooler outcomes currently priced lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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