**Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low. Recent observations show early morning readings near 12–13°C, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push temperatures substantially lower. Historical September averages for London lows hover around 11–12°C, but current synoptic conditions and model consensus support the warmer outcome. A shift to clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could realistically allow a dip to 13°C or below, though updated guidance has not signaled this deviation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 16?
Lowest temperature in London on September 16?
14°C 93%
13°C 5%
12°C 2%
9°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
93%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 93%
13°C 5%
12°C 2%
9°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
$91 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$76 Обс.
1%
10°C
$76 Обс.
1%
11°C
$132 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$1,360 Обс.
2%
13°C
$1,627 Обс.
5%
14°C
$1,215 Обс.
93%
15°C
$1,100 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$91 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$114 Обс.
<1%
18°C or higher
$96 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low. Recent observations show early morning readings near 12–13°C, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push temperatures substantially lower. Historical September averages for London lows hover around 11–12°C, but current synoptic conditions and model consensus support the warmer outcome. A shift to clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could realistically allow a dip to 13°C or below, though updated guidance has not signaled this deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,979Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low. Recent observations show early morning readings near 12–13°C, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push temperatures substantially lower. Historical September averages for London lows hover around 11–12°C, but current synoptic conditions and model consensus support the warmer outcome. A shift to clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could realistically allow a dip to 13°C or below, though updated guidance has not signaled this deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,979Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low. Recent observations show early morning readings near 12–13°C, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push temperatures substantially lower. Historical September averages for London lows hover around 11–12°C, but current synoptic conditions and model consensus support the warmer outcome. A shift to clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could realistically allow a dip to 13°C or below, though updated guidance has not signaled this deviation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання