Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a high near 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19, with southwest flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with afternoon maxima unlikely to reach 23°C or drop to 20°C under stable high pressure near 1020 hPa and moderate winds. This consensus aligns with the 55% implied probability on 22°C and 28.5% on 21°C, reflecting trader assessment of current model runs rather than climatological averages for mid-September. Updated guidance from national weather services is expected within 24–48 hours and could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
22°C 55%
23°C 30%
21°C 28%
20°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
15%
20°C
16%
21°C
28%
22°C
55%
23°C
30%
24°C
11%
25°C
7%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 30%
21°C 28%
20°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
4%
19°C
$0 Обс.
15%
20°C
$0 Обс.
16%
21°C
$3 Обс.
28%
22°C
$214 Обс.
55%
23°C
$0 Обс.
30%
24°C
$0 Обс.
11%
25°C
$7 Обс.
7%
26°C
$111 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$261 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a high near 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19, with southwest flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with afternoon maxima unlikely to reach 23°C or drop to 20°C under stable high pressure near 1020 hPa and moderate winds. This consensus aligns with the 55% implied probability on 22°C and 28.5% on 21°C, reflecting trader assessment of current model runs rather than climatological averages for mid-September. Updated guidance from national weather services is expected within 24–48 hours and could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$596Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a high near 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19, with southwest flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with afternoon maxima unlikely to reach 23°C or drop to 20°C under stable high pressure near 1020 hPa and moderate winds. This consensus aligns with the 55% implied probability on 22°C and 28.5% on 21°C, reflecting trader assessment of current model runs rather than climatological averages for mid-September. Updated guidance from national weather services is expected within 24–48 hours and could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$596Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a high near 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19, with southwest flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with afternoon maxima unlikely to reach 23°C or drop to 20°C under stable high pressure near 1020 hPa and moderate winds. This consensus aligns with the 55% implied probability on 22°C and 28.5% on 21°C, reflecting trader assessment of current model runs rather than climatological averages for mid-September. Updated guidance from national weather services is expected within 24–48 hours and could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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