Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS points to a minimum temperature near 11–12°C in Warsaw on September 19 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and building high pressure that favors radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or air-mass advection from the southwest can alter the overnight low by several degrees, while historical September minima near 12°C provide limited guidance this close to the date. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 93%
10°C 39%
13°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
22%
8°C
26%
9°C
36%
10°C
39%
11°C
29%
12°C
29%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
34%
16°C or higher
93%
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 93%
10°C 39%
13°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
7°C
$0 Обс.
22%
8°C
$0 Обс.
26%
9°C
$0 Обс.
36%
10°C
$0 Обс.
39%
11°C
$0 Обс.
29%
12°C
$0 Обс.
29%
13°C
$0 Обс.
39%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$56 Обс.
34%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS points to a minimum temperature near 11–12°C in Warsaw on September 19 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and building high pressure that favors radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or air-mass advection from the southwest can alter the overnight low by several degrees, while historical September minima near 12°C provide limited guidance this close to the date. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$56Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS points to a minimum temperature near 11–12°C in Warsaw on September 19 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and building high pressure that favors radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or air-mass advection from the southwest can alter the overnight low by several degrees, while historical September minima near 12°C provide limited guidance this close to the date. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$56Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS points to a minimum temperature near 11–12°C in Warsaw on September 19 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and building high pressure that favors radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or air-mass advection from the southwest can alter the overnight low by several degrees, while historical September minima near 12°C provide limited guidance this close to the date. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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