Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a Saturday maximum of 23°C in Buenos Aires under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, reflecting gradual spring warming after a recent cold outbreak. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and GFS/ECMWF consensus showing modest warm-air advection without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification that would push readings toward 25°C or higher. Market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C likely incorporate uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model underestimation of daytime heating, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings. Updated SMN briefings and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19?
25°C 41%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
26%
25°C
41%
26°C
20%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 41%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
18°C or below
$31 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
1%
22°C
$170 Обс.
3%
23°C
$221 Обс.
7%
24°C
$594 Обс.
26%
25°C
$150 Обс.
41%
26°C
$106 Обс.
20%
27°C
$197 Обс.
5%
28°C or higher
$29 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a Saturday maximum of 23°C in Buenos Aires under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, reflecting gradual spring warming after a recent cold outbreak. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and GFS/ECMWF consensus showing modest warm-air advection without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification that would push readings toward 25°C or higher. Market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C likely incorporate uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model underestimation of daytime heating, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings. Updated SMN briefings and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,560Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a Saturday maximum of 23°C in Buenos Aires under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, reflecting gradual spring warming after a recent cold outbreak. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and GFS/ECMWF consensus showing modest warm-air advection without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification that would push readings toward 25°C or higher. Market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C likely incorporate uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model underestimation of daytime heating, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings. Updated SMN briefings and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,560Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a Saturday maximum of 23°C in Buenos Aires under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, reflecting gradual spring warming after a recent cold outbreak. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and GFS/ECMWF consensus showing modest warm-air advection without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification that would push readings toward 25°C or higher. Market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C likely incorporate uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model underestimation of daytime heating, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings. Updated SMN briefings and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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